Moreirense vs Arouca: result 1-4 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 17, 2016 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
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What was the result of Moreirense vs Arouca?
Arouca won 1-4 on December 17, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 7′JorginhoArouca
- 29′MateusArouca
- 47′E. BoatengMoreirense
- 51′JorginhoArouca
- 82′JorginhoArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moreirense have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Arouca have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2016 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Nacional(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Benfica(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Tondela(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2016 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Feirense(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Maritimo(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Moreirense win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2016 | Arouca 1-2 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Moreirense 0-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| May 23, 2015 | Arouca 1-2 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2015 | Moreirense 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Moreirense score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Arouca | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moreirense sit 16th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy