Moreirense vs Guimaraes: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 21, 2012 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
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What was the result of Moreirense vs Guimaraes?
Guimaraes won 0-1 on September 21, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Moreirense have 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Guimaraes have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2012 | Beira-Mar(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Nacional(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 19, 2012 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Estoril(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2012 | FC Porto(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 19, 2012 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 12, 2012 | Academica(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2012 | Feirense(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Moreirense score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 3; Guimaraes score 1.2 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0 | 3/3 | 1/3 |
| Guimaraes | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moreirense sit 16th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Guimaraes sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy