Mortágua vs Benfica Castelo Branco: result 0-1 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 5Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Gandarada, Mortágua
Full time
What was the result of Mortágua vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
Benfica Castelo Branco won 0-1 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 62′?Benfica Castelo Branco
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Mortágua win at 45%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mortágua have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Benfica Castelo Branco have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leça(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | UD da Serra(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 30, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sertanense(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Alverca II(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naval 1893(home) | 1-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 3-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mortágua wins, 3 draws, 3 Benfica Castelo Branco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco 3-1 Mortágua | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Mortágua 1-1 Benfica Castelo Branco | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Benfica Castelo Branco 1-1 Mortágua | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Mortágua 0-0 Benfica Castelo Branco | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Benfica Castelo Branco 2-0 Mortágua | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Mortágua 1-2 Benfica Castelo Branco | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Benfica Castelo Branco vs Mortágua on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mortágua score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica Castelo Branco score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mortágua | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mortágua sit 2nd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (13 points from 6 matches) and Benfica Castelo Branco sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Mortágua vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy