Mortágua vs Nazarenos: result 3-1 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 1Kick-off on August 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Gandarada, Mortágua
Full time
What was the result of Mortágua vs Nazarenos?
Mortágua won 3-1 on August 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 21′?Mortágua
- 55′?Mortágua
- 71′?Nazarenos
- 90′?Mortágua
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Mortágua win at 46%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mortágua have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Nazarenos have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Eléctrico(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Marinhense(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Naval 1893(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Sourense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Mortágua score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nazarenos score 0.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mortágua | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Nazarenos | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mortágua sit 2nd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (13 points from 6 matches) and Nazarenos sit 13th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Mortágua vs Nazarenos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy