AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense: result 1-1 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 1Kick-off on August 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Santo António, Nogueira do Cravo
Full time
What was the result of AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense?
AD Nogueirense and Sertanense drew 1-1 on August 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′?Sertanense
- 38′?AD Nogueirense
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a AD Nogueirense win at 40%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 0-0. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, AD Nogueirense have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Sertanense have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Sanjoanense(away) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Gafanha(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Mortágua(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Benfica Castelo Branco(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Alcains(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Os Marialvas(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Mortágua(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Arronches e Benfica(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
AD Nogueirense score 0.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 3; Sertanense score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Nogueirense | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 0/3 | 0/3 |
| Sertanense | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Nogueirense sit 9th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (8 points from 7 matches) and Sertanense sit 12th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
A question about AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy