Morton vs Livingston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cappielow Park, Greenock
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Morton. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morton vs Livingston?
Livingston starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,545).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morton vs Livingston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morton
4-2-3-1- 7M. Garrity
- 21G. Gillespie
- 20C. Sandilands
- 27I. Wilson
- 19Kerr Robertson
- 17Sahil Bashir
- 2C. Ballantyne
- 4Christopher Cupps
- 6C. Okike
- 3J. Longridge
- 1Elyh Harrison
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 19B. van Hoeven
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 16C. Palmer
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 22J. Doherty
- 5R. McGowan
- 26C. Montaño
- 28J. Prior
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morton have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Livingston have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Morton(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Morton wins, 2 draws, 4 Livingston wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Morton 1-4 Livingston | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Morton 1-2 Livingston | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Livingston 3-2 Morton | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Morton 0-0 Livingston | Championship |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Livingston 2-1 Morton | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Livingston 1-1 Morton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Morton score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Livingston score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morton | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Livingston | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morton sit 10th in Championship (4 points from 10 matches) and Livingston sit 4th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Morton vs Livingston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morton vs Livingston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Morton.
- Where and when is Morton vs Livingston played?
- Morton vs Livingston is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cappielow Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.