Livingston vs Morton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Morton. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livingston vs Morton?
Livingston starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,554).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Livingston vs Morton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 19B. van Hoeven
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 16C. Palmer
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 22J. Doherty
- 5R. McGowan
- 26C. Montaño
- 28J. Prior
Morton
4-2-3-1- 7M. Garrity
- 21G. Gillespie
- 20C. Sandilands
- 27I. Wilson
- 19Kerr Robertson
- 17Sahil Bashir
- 2C. Ballantyne
- 4Christopher Cupps
- 6C. Okike
- 3J. Longridge
- 1Elyh Harrison
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livingston have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Morton have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Morton(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Livingston wins, 2 draws, 0 Morton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Morton 1-4 Livingston | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Morton 1-2 Livingston | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Livingston 3-2 Morton | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Morton 0-0 Livingston | Championship |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Livingston 2-1 Morton | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Livingston 1-1 Morton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Livingston score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Morton score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Morton | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livingston sit 4th in Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Morton sit 10th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Livingston vs Morton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livingston vs Morton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Morton.
- Where and when is Livingston vs Morton played?
- Livingston vs Morton is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Macaroni Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.