Mosul vs Al-Karma: result 1-3 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on January 18, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Mosul vs Al-Karma?
Al-Karma won 1-3 on January 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 1′Ali OlwanAl-Karma
- 7′A. Al DaliMosul
- 31′Ahmed Hasan Al ReeshaweeAl-Karma (pen.)
- 45′659351Al-Karma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Mosul have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Karma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Al Talaba(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Al-Qasim(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Al Najaf(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Gharraf(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Zakho(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mosul score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 11; Al-Karma score 1.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosul | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/11 | 6/11 |
| Al-Karma | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosul sit 3rd in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al-Karma sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mosul | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Al-Karma | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy