Mosul vs Diyala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Mosul have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Diyala have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025 | Al Najaf(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Baghdad(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Gharraf(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2025 | Zakho(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Al Najaf(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Baghdad(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Naft Al-Janoob(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mosul score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 3; Diyala score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosul | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
| Diyala | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosul sit 17th in Iraqi League (8 points from 9 matches) and Diyala sit 11th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
| 17 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Mosul vs Diyala?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy