Erbil vs Al-Karma: result 2-1 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 3, 2025 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
Full time
What was the result of Erbil vs Al-Karma?
Erbil won 2-1 on October 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′S. TemirovErbil
- 44′623769Al-Karma
- 45′M. ZaddemErbil
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Karma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Al Najaf(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Naft Al-Janoob(away) | 3-4 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-3 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Naft(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Duhok(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Zakho(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-4 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Erbil win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al-Karma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2025 | Al-Karma 1-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Erbil 1-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Karma score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Karma | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbil sit 1st in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al-Karma sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Al-Karma | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy