Motherwell vs Falkirk: prediction and stats
PremiershipMatchday 29Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fir Park, Motherwell
The Footlab AI model makes Motherwell the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Falkirk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Motherwell wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motherwell vs Falkirk?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Motherwell (1,883) and Falkirk (1,939).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Motherwell vs Falkirk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Motherwell
4-2-3-1- 47S. Palmer-Houlden
- 71J. Hodge
- 18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 19I. Said
- 8L. Fadinger
- 13J. Kanga
- 45M. Emmanuel
- 5M. Moormann
- 7T. Sparrow
- 3J. Girdwood-Reich
- 1A. Paulsen
Falkirk
4-2-3-1- 24J. Murrell
- 23E. Ross
- 8B. Spencer
- 16Finley Frank Barbrook
- 42Owen Eames
- 21D. Meļņiks
- 5L. Henderson
- 15L. Neilson
- 17S. Tanser
- 22R. Strain
- 19S. Bain
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motherwell have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Falkirk have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 28, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 5-2 | Premiership |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kilmarnock(home) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Motherwell wins, 2 draws, 3 Falkirk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Motherwell 0-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| May 2, 2026 | Falkirk 1-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Motherwell 2-3 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Falkirk 0-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Motherwell 1-2 Falkirk | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Motherwell score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Falkirk score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Falkirk | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motherwell sit 9th in Premiership (13 points from 13 matches) and Falkirk sit 3rd (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Falkirk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 13 |
A question about Motherwell vs Falkirk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motherwell vs Falkirk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motherwell the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Falkirk.
- Where and when is Motherwell vs Falkirk played?
- Motherwell vs Falkirk is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fir Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.