Match

Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Mozambique U17New Caledonia U17

The Footlab model makes Mozambique U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for New Caledonia U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Mozambique U17 (1,501) and New Caledonia U17 (1,434).

Mozambique U17 win46 %
Draw22 %
New Caledonia U17 win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Mozambique U17 have 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; New Caledonia U17 have 0, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mozambique U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Ethiopia U17(away)1-1CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 20, 2026Angola U17(away)2-1CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 17, 2026Mali U17(home)1-1CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 14, 2026Tanzania U17(away)0-3CAF Cup of Nations - U17
New Caledonia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2025Morocco U17(away)0-16World Cup - U17
Nov 6, 2025Japan U17(away)0-0World Cup - U17
Nov 3, 2025Portugal U17(home)1-6World Cup - U17
Nov 17, 2023IR Iran U17(away)0-5World Cup - U17
Nov 14, 2023Brazil U17(away)0-9World Cup - U17

How many goals should we expect?

Mozambique U17 score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; New Caledonia U17 score 0.2 and concede 7.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mozambique U171.01.503/42/4
New Caledonia U170.27.711/65/6

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17?
The Footlab model makes Mozambique U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for New Caledonia U17.
Where and when is Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17 played?
Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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