Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Mozambique U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for New Caledonia U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Mozambique U17 (1,501) and New Caledonia U17 (1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Mozambique U17 have 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; New Caledonia U17 have 0, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Ethiopia U17(away) | 1-1 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| May 20, 2026 | Angola U17(away) | 2-1 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| May 17, 2026 | Mali U17(home) | 1-1 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| May 14, 2026 | Tanzania U17(away) | 0-3 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Morocco U17(away) | 0-16 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Japan U17(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Portugal U17(home) | 1-6 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | IR Iran U17(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | Brazil U17(away) | 0-9 | World Cup - U17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mozambique U17 score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; New Caledonia U17 score 0.2 and concede 7.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mozambique U17 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 2/4 |
| New Caledonia U17 | 0.2 | 7.7 | 1 | 1/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17?
- The Footlab model makes Mozambique U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for New Caledonia U17.
- Where and when is Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17 played?
- Mozambique U17 vs New Caledonia U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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