Ecuador U17 vs Korea Republic U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
The Footlab model makes Korea Republic U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Ecuador U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ecuador U17 vs Korea Republic U17?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Ecuador U17 (1,558) and Korea Republic U17 (1,613).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador U17 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Korea Republic U17 have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Brazil U17(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Argentina U17(home) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Chile U17(away) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Uruguay U17(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Colombia U17(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Uzbekistan U17(away) | 2-2 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Yemen U17(home) | 0-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Vietnam U17(away) | 4-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 6, 2026 | United Arab Emirates U17(home) | 1-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| Mar 31, 2026 | India U17(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Ecuador U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Korea Republic U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador U17 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Korea Republic U17 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ecuador U17 vs Korea Republic U17?
- The Footlab model makes Korea Republic U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Ecuador U17.
- Where and when is Ecuador U17 vs Korea Republic U17 played?
- Ecuador U17 vs Korea Republic U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.