MŠK Senec vs Nové Zámky: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Národné tréningové centrum SFZ, Senec
The Footlab model makes MŠK Senec the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Nové Zámky. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MŠK Senec vs Nové Zámky?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate MŠK Senec (1,541) and Nové Zámky (1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MŠK Senec have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Nové Zámky have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | DAC II(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Malacky(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Rača(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dunajská Lužná(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Družstevník Bešeňov(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Komárno II(away) | 2-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rača(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Komárno II(home) | 4-0 | 3. liga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 MŠK Senec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nové Zámky win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | MŠK Senec 3-0 Nové Zámky | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Nové Zámky 2-0 MŠK Senec | 3. liga - West |
Last archived meeting: MŠK Senec vs Nové Zámky on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MŠK Senec score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nové Zámky score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MŠK Senec | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Nové Zámky | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nové Zámky | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 45 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MŠK Senec vs Nové Zámky?
- The Footlab model makes MŠK Senec the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Nové Zámky.
- Where and when is MŠK Senec vs Nové Zámky played?
- MŠK Senec vs Nové Zámky is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Národné tréningové centrum SFZ, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.