MŠK Senec vs Rača: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Národné tréningové centrum SFZ, Senec
The Footlab model makes MŠK Senec the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Rača. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MŠK Senec vs Rača?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate MŠK Senec (1,541) and Rača (1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MŠK Senec have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Rača have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | DAC II(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Malacky(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Rača(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bernolákovo(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nové Zámky(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | MŠK Senec(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 MŠK Senec win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Rača win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | MŠK Senec 0-1 Rača | 3. liga - West |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Rača 0-2 MŠK Senec | 3. liga - West |
| May 15, 2022 | Rača 4-2 MŠK Senec | 3. liga - Bratislava |
| Oct 8, 2021 | MŠK Senec 4-5 Rača | 3. liga - Bratislava |
| Aug 16, 2020 | Rača 7-1 MŠK Senec | 3. liga - Bratislava |
How many goals should we expect?
MŠK Senec score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rača score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MŠK Senec | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Rača | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rača | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MŠK Senec vs Rača?
- The Footlab model makes MŠK Senec the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Rača.
- Where and when is MŠK Senec vs Rača played?
- MŠK Senec vs Rača is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Národné tréningové centrum SFZ, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.