MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wittmann Antal park, Mosonmagyaróvár
The Footlab model makes Dorogi FC the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for MTE 1904. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate MTE 1904 (1,550) and Dorogi FC (1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTE 1904 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dorogi FC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veszprém(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Balatonalmádi(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sárisápi Bányász(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Zsámbéki SK(away) | 6-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Móri SE(away) | 7-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(away) | 7-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Király SZE(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Veszprém(home) | 6-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Balatonalmádi(home) | 4-1 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 MTE 1904 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dorogi FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | MTE 1904 0-1 Dorogi FC | NB III - Northwest |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Dorogi FC 0-2 MTE 1904 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 25, 2025 | Dorogi FC 3-0 MTE 1904 | NB III - Northwest |
| Nov 10, 2024 | MTE 1904 2-0 Dorogi FC | NB III - Northwest |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Dorogi FC 0-1 MTE 1904 | NB II |
| Sep 11, 2022 | MTE 1904 1-1 Dorogi FC | NB II |
How many goals should we expect?
MTE 1904 score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dorogi FC score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTE 1904 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dorogi FC | 2.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTE 1904 sit 2nd in NB III - Northwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Dorogi FC sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorogi FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | MTE 1904 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Dorogi FC the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for MTE 1904.
- Where and when is MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC played?
- MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wittmann Antal park, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.