Puskás II vs Balatonalmádi: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, Felcsút
The Footlab model makes Puskás II the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Balatonalmádi. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puskás II vs Balatonalmádi?
Puskás II starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,519 vs 1,348).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puskás II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Balatonalmádi have 2, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE II(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Komárom(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tatabánya(home) | 0-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bicskei(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | MTE 1904(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Haladás VSE(away) | 1-6 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dorogi FC(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Komárom(home) | 1-2 | Magyar Kupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Puskás II score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Balatonalmádi score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puskás II | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Balatonalmádi | 1.3 | 2.7 | 3 | 5/13 | 9/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puskás II sit 14th in NB III - Northwest (3 points from 4 matches) and Balatonalmádi sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Puskás II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 17 | Balatonalmádi | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puskás II vs Balatonalmádi?
- The Footlab model makes Puskás II the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Balatonalmádi.
- Where and when is Puskás II vs Balatonalmádi played?
- Puskás II vs Balatonalmádi is played on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.