MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Debreceni VSC. The most likely score is 1-1. If MTK Budapest wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate MTK Budapest (1,769) and Debreceni VSC (1,818).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MTK Budapest
4-2-3-1- 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
- 11G. Jurek
- 80Adrian Zeljković
- 6M. Kata
- 77G. Komáromi
- 17K. Hinora
- 26V. Armalas
- 4I. Beriashvili
- 55S. Radić
- 13M. Timoteus
- 1P. Demjén
Debreceni VSC
4-1-4-1- 11A. Szendrei
- 97C. Denes
- 10B. Dzsudzsák
- 6B. Bošković
- 5B. Batik
- 75D. Patai
- 3Adrián Guerrero
- 23G. Tercza
- 26Á. Lang
- 4J. Mejías
- 1P. Andreev
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Debreceni VSC have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paks(away) | 0-3 | NB I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vasas(home) | 2-4 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gödöllő(away) | 3-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Paks(away) | 4-2 | NB I |
| Aug 28, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MTK Budapest win, 3 draws, 2 Debreceni VSC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Debreceni VSC 2-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Debreceni VSC 2-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 9, 2025 | MTK Budapest 3-0 Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Debreceni VSC 1-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| May 3, 2025 | Debreceni VSC 0-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MTK Budapest 0-2 Debreceni VSC | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Debreceni VSC score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Debreceni VSC | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest sit 9th in NB I (9 points from 9 matches) and Debreceni VSC sit 8th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Debreceni VSC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 9 |
A question about MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC?
- The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Debreceni VSC.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC played?
- MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.