MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Debreceni VSC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate MTK Budapest (1,778) and Debreceni VSC (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Debreceni VSC have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 0-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 MTK Budapest win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Debreceni VSC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Debreceni VSC 2-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 9, 2025 | MTK Budapest 3-0 Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Debreceni VSC 1-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| May 3, 2025 | Debreceni VSC 0-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MTK Budapest 0-2 Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Debreceni VSC 2-3 MTK Budapest | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Debreceni VSC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Debreceni VSC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest sit 4th in NB I (8 points from 5 matches) and Debreceni VSC sit 9th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Debreceni VSC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC?
- The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Debreceni VSC.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC played?
- MTK Budapest vs Debreceni VSC is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.