Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
The Footlab model makes Debreceni VSC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Debreceni VSC (1,800) and MTK Budapest (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Debreceni VSC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 0-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Debreceni VSC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 MTK Budapest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Debreceni VSC 2-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 9, 2025 | MTK Budapest 3-0 Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Debreceni VSC 1-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| May 3, 2025 | Debreceni VSC 0-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MTK Budapest 0-2 Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Debreceni VSC 2-3 MTK Budapest | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Debreceni VSC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debreceni VSC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| MTK Budapest | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Debreceni VSC sit 9th in NB I (5 points from 5 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 4th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Debreceni VSC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest?
- The Footlab model makes Debreceni VSC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest played?
- Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Nagyerdei Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.