MTK Budapest vs Ferencvarosi TC: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Ferencvarosi TC?
Ferencvarosi TC starts as the favourite with a 282-point Elo edge (2,064 vs 1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ferencvarosi TC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 MTK Budapest win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Ferencvarosi TC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | MTK Budapest 1-3 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Ferencvarosi TC 4-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Jul 26, 2025 | MTK Budapest 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| Apr 27, 2025 | MTK Budapest 2-3 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Ferencvarosi TC 3-1 MTK Budapest | Magyar Kupa |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Ferencvarosi TC 0-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest vs Ferencvarosi TC on Feb 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ferencvarosi TC score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 1.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest sit 4th in NB I (8 points from 5 matches) and Ferencvarosi TC sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest vs Ferencvarosi TC?
- The Footlab model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest vs Ferencvarosi TC played?
- MTK Budapest vs Ferencvarosi TC is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.