MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Gyori ETO FC the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC?
Gyori ETO FC starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,807).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gyori ETO FC have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Riga(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Riga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 4-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MTK Budapest win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gyori ETO FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC 0-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Gyori ETO FC 3-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Aug 17, 2025 | MTK Budapest 2-7 Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Gyori ETO FC 2-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 23, 2024 | MTK Budapest 2-2 Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Gyori ETO FC 1-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Gyori ETO FC vs MTK Budapest on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gyori ETO FC score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Gyori ETO FC | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest sit 4th in NB I (8 points from 5 matches) and Gyori ETO FC sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gyori ETO FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC?
- The Footlab model makes Gyori ETO FC the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC played?
- MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.