Kisvarda FC vs Paks: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Várkerti Stadion, Kisvárda
The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Kisvarda FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kisvarda FC vs Paks?
Paks starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kisvarda FC have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Paks have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 0-0 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(away) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-4 | NB I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 2-5 | NB I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kisvarda FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Paks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kisvarda FC 2-1 Paks | NB I |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Paks 5-3 Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Kisvarda FC 1-5 Paks | NB I |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Kisvarda FC 0-1 Paks | Magyar Kupa |
| May 18, 2024 | Paks 2-1 Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Paks 2-1 Kisvarda FC | Magyar Kupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Kisvarda FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Paks score 2.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kisvarda FC | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Paks | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kisvarda FC sit 8th in NB I (5 points from 5 matches) and Paks sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kisvarda FC vs Paks?
- The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Kisvarda FC.
- Where and when is Kisvarda FC vs Paks played?
- Kisvarda FC vs Paks is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Várkerti Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.