Municipal Limeño vs Águila: prediction and stats
Copa PresidenteQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, Santa Rosa de Lima
The Footlab model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Águila. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Municipal Limeño (1,660) and Águila (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Limeño have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Águila have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FAS(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Municipal Limeño win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Águila win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Municipal Limeño 2-0 Águila | Primera Division |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Águila 1-0 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Municipal Limeño 1-2 Águila | Primera Division |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Águila 2-1 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| May 3, 2025 | Municipal Limeño 0-2 Águila | Primera Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Águila 0-2 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Municipal Limeño vs Águila on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Limeño score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Águila score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Limeño | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Águila | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
- The Footlab model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Águila.
- Where and when is Municipal Limeño vs Águila played?
- Municipal Limeño vs Águila is played on September 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, in the Copa Presidente.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.