Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 7Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, Santa Rosa de Lima
The Footlab model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Isidro Metapán. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Municipal Limeño (1,644) and Isidro Metapán (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Limeño have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Isidro Metapán have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Águila(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FAS(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Municipal Limeño win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Isidro Metapán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Isidro Metapán 1-0 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Municipal Limeño 0-0 Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Isidro Metapán 3-2 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Municipal Limeño 1-2 Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| May 11, 2025 | Isidro Metapán 1-2 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| May 8, 2025 | Municipal Limeño 2-1 Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Limeño score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Isidro Metapán score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Limeño | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Isidro Metapán | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Municipal Limeño sit 7th in Primera Division (7 points from 6 matches) and Isidro Metapán sit 1st (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapán | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán?
- The Footlab model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Isidro Metapán.
- Where and when is Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán played?
- Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán is played on August 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.