Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueMatchday 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SportPesa Arena, Murang'a
The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Murang'a SEAL. The most likely score is 1-1. If GOR Mahia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,794 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia?
GOR Mahia starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,481).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Murang'a SEAL
Not enough data to predict the Murang'a SEAL lineup.
GOR Mahia
4-3-3- 40C. Ochieng Oduor
- 30S. Kapen
- 22B. Ochieng
- 6E. Morrison
- 10A. Otieno
- 26P. Otieno
- 2G. Ochieng
- 5Alphonce Omija
- 15S. Owino
- 19Shariff Sirengo
- 35K. Omondi Onyango
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murang'a SEAL have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; GOR Mahia have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 5-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Murang'a SEAL wins, 3 draws, 3 GOR Mahia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | GOR Mahia 4-2 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL 1-3 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2026 | GOR Mahia 3-2 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | GOR Mahia 2-2 Murang'a SEAL | Shield Cup |
| May 18, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL 0-0 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | GOR Mahia 2-2 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL on Oct 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Murang'a SEAL score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; GOR Mahia score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| GOR Mahia | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Murang'a SEAL sit 8th in FKF Premier League (8 points from 6 matches) and GOR Mahia sit 1st (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia?
- The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Murang'a SEAL.
- Where and when is Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia played?
- Murang'a SEAL vs GOR Mahia is played on February 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SportPesa Arena, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.