Homeboyz vs Tusker: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bukhungu Stadium, Kakamega
The Footlab AI model makes Homeboyz the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Tusker. The most likely score is 1-1. If Homeboyz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Homeboyz vs Tusker?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Homeboyz (1,546) and Tusker (1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Homeboyz vs Tusker
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Homeboyz
Not enough data to predict the Homeboyz lineup.
Tusker
Not enough data to predict the Tusker lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 06:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Homeboyz have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tusker have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Homeboyz win, 3 draws, 2 Tusker wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Tusker 2-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Homeboyz 1-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Homeboyz 0-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Tusker 2-2 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Tusker 1-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Homeboyz 1-0 Tusker | Shield Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Homeboyz score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tusker score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homeboyz | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Tusker | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Homeboyz sit 9th in FKF Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Tusker sit 11th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Homeboyz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
A question about Homeboyz vs Tusker?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Homeboyz vs Tusker?
- The Footlab AI model makes Homeboyz the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Tusker.
- Where and when is Homeboyz vs Tusker played?
- Homeboyz vs Tusker is played on February 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bukhungu Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.