Match

Muş Sport Klübü vs Erbaaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Muş Şehir Stadı, Muş

Muş Sport KlübüErbaaspor

The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muş Sport Klübü vs Erbaaspor?

Muş Sport Klübü starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,611).

Muş Sport Klübü win75 %
Draw15 %
Erbaaspor win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muş Sport Klübü have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Erbaaspor have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muş Sport Klübü
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Mardin 1969(away)1-22. Lig
May 4, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(home)0-02. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Adanaspor(home)6-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Fethiyespor(away)1-12. Lig
Erbaaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)1-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Ankaragücü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Elazığspor(away)0-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)0-22. Lig
Apr 4, 202624 Erzincanspor(away)2-32. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Muş Sport Klübü win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Erbaaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 26, 2024Erbaaspor 1-1 Muş Sport Klübü3. Lig - Play-offs
Mar 12, 2023Muş Sport Klübü 0-1 Erbaaspor3. Lig - Group 3
Oct 9, 2022Erbaaspor 1-2 Muş Sport Klübü3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü on May 26, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Muş Sport Klübü score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Muş Sport Klübü1.91.1310/158/15
Erbaaspor0.91.539/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Muş Sport Klübü sit 3rd in 2. Lig (70 points from 34 matches) and Erbaaspor sit 15th (34 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Muş Sport Klübü342176823570
15Erbaaspor3610719406134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muş Sport Klübü vs Erbaaspor?
The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Erbaaspor.
Where and when is Muş Sport Klübü vs Erbaaspor played?
Muş Sport Klübü vs Erbaaspor is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Muş Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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