Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü played?

Erbaaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Erbaaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, Erbaa

Erbaaspor

Muş Sport Klübü

The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 0-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erbaaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?

Muş Sport Klübü starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,599).

Erbaaspor win15 %

Draw20 %

Muş Sport Klübü win65 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbaaspor have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Muş Sport Klübü have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erbaaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Adana 01 FK(home)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	24 Erzincanspor(away)	2-3	2. Lig

Muş Sport Klübü
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Mardin 1969(away)	1-2	2. Lig
May 4, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ(home)	0-0	2. Lig
Apr 30, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Adanaspor(home)	6-0	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Fethiyespor(away)	1-1	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Erbaaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Muş Sport Klübü win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 26, 2024	Erbaaspor 1-1 Muş Sport Klübü	3. Lig - Play-offs
Mar 12, 2023	Muş Sport Klübü 0-1 Erbaaspor	3. Lig - Group 3
Oct 9, 2022	Erbaaspor 1-2 Muş Sport Klübü	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü on May 26, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Muş Sport Klübü score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Erbaaspor	0.9	1.5	3	9/15	7/15
Muş Sport Klübü	1.9	1.1	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erbaaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (34 points from 36 matches) and Muş Sport Klübü sit 3rd (70 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Muş Sport Klübü	34	21	7	6	82	35	70
15	Erbaaspor	36	10	7	19	40	61	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erbaaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?: The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Erbaaspor.
Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü played?: Erbaaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.