Mutilvera vs San Juan: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, Mutilva Baja
The Footlab model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for San Juan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutilvera vs San Juan?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Mutilvera (1,745) and San Juan (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutilvera have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; San Juan have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Mutilvera win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 San Juan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | San Juan 0-2 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Mutilvera 2-1 San Juan | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | San Juan 3-0 Mutilvera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Mutilvera 1-0 San Juan | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Mutilvera 1-0 San Juan | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | San Juan 0-1 Mutilvera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mutilvera score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Juan score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutilvera | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| San Juan | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | San Juan | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 28 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutilvera vs San Juan?
- The Footlab model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for San Juan.
- Where and when is Mutilvera vs San Juan played?
- Mutilvera vs San Juan is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.