Mutilvera vs Pamplona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, Mutilva Baja
The Footlab AI model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pamplona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mutilvera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutilvera vs Pamplona?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Mutilvera (1,733) and Pamplona (1,820).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mutilvera vs Pamplona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mutilvera
Not enough data to predict the Mutilvera lineup.
Pamplona
Not enough data to predict the Pamplona lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutilvera have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Pamplona have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mutilvera wins, 2 draws, 0 Pamplona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mutilvera 2-0 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Pamplona 1-1 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Mutilvera 0-0 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Pamplona 1-2 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Mutilvera vs Pamplona on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mutilvera score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pamplona score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutilvera | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Pamplona | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mutilvera sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (14 points from 6 matches) and Pamplona sit 14th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mutilvera | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 14 | Pamplona | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Mutilvera vs Pamplona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutilvera vs Pamplona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pamplona.
- Where and when is Mutilvera vs Pamplona played?
- Mutilvera vs Pamplona is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.