Nacional Asuncion vs Alianza Lima: result 1-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL Libertadores1st RoundKick-off on February 6, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción
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What was the result of Nacional Asuncion vs Alianza Lima?
Nacional Asuncion and Alianza Lima drew 1-1 on February 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′G. CaballeroNacional Asuncion
- 90′H. BarcosAlianza Lima (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional Asuncion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Alianza Lima have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Cerro Porteno(away) | 1-3 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Libertad Asuncion(home) | 0-3 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 de Mayo(away) | 0-0 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Libertad Asuncion(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paraguay |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Club Guarani(home) | 0-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Emelec(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Cusco(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional Asuncion score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Lima score 1.3 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asuncion | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Alianza Lima | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy