Where and when is Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca played?

Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima

Alianza Lima

FC Cajamarca

The Footlab model makes Alianza Lima the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for FC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca?

Alianza Lima starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,569).

Alianza Lima win77 %

Draw15 %

FC Cajamarca win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza Lima have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; FC Cajamarca have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alianza Lima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FBC Melgar(away)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(home)	1-0	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	Sport Boys(away)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	Alianza Atletico(home)	3-1	Primera División
Jul 26, 2026	Comerciantes Unidos(away)	2-2	Primera División

FC Cajamarca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Atletico Grau(home)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Universitario(home)	2-3	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	FBC Melgar(away)	4-2	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	Sport Huancayo(home)	0-2	Primera División
Jul 27, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	1-2	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Alianza Lima win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Cajamarca win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	FC Cajamarca 1-1 Alianza Lima	Primera División

Last archived meeting: FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima on May 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alianza Lima score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Lima	1.4	0.9	5	10/15	7/15
FC Cajamarca	1.5	1.8	0	13/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alianza Lima sit 1st in Primera División (40 points from 17 matches) and FC Cajamarca sit 15th (17 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	30	8	40
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	30	8	40
1	Alianza Lima	23	15	7	1	40	14	52
2	Alianza Lima	4	2	2	0	8	5	8
3	Alianza Lima	6	3	3	0	10	6	12
13	FC Cajamarca	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23	28	17
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23	28	17
15	FC Cajamarca	6	1	1	4	10	14	4
17	FC Cajamarca	23	5	6	12	33	42	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca?: The Footlab model makes Alianza Lima the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for FC Cajamarca.
Where and when is Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca played?: Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.