Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Real Potosí. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Nacional Potosí (1,605) and Real Potosí (1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional Potosí have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Potosí have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ABB(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ABB(away) | 3-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nacional Potosí win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Potosí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Real Potosí 1-1 Nacional Potosí | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Nacional Potosí 0-1 Real Potosí | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Real Potosí 1-0 Nacional Potosí | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Nacional Potosí 4-2 Real Potosí | Primera División |
| May 2, 2021 | Real Potosí 1-2 Nacional Potosí | Primera División |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Real Potosí 2-3 Nacional Potosí | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Real Potosí vs Nacional Potosí on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional Potosí score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Potosí score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosí | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Potosí | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí?
- The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Real Potosí.
- Where and when is Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí played?
- Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.