Real Potosí vs Bolívar: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 26Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte de Potosí, Potosí
The Footlab AI model makes Bolívar the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Real Potosí. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolívar wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Potosí vs Bolívar?
Bolívar starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,628).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Potosí vs Bolívar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Potosí
5-4-1- 23L. Alí
- 3G. Anazgo
- 8I. Cárdenas
- 11M. Gómez
- 6Jairo Samuel Thomas Enriquez
- 22F. Supayabe
- 44S. Severiche
- 4K. Villegas
- 17D. Cuellar
- 19A. Brito
- 1C. Martinez
Bolívar
4-4-2- 27D. Asprilla
- 77D. Romero
- 7J. Velásquez
- 80C. Melgar
- 14R. Matheus
- 22A. Ayhuana
- 2Jesús Sagredo
- 5S. Echeverría
- 3X. Arreaga
- 33F. Mena
- 1C. Lampe
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Potosí have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Bolívar have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 5-5 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 0-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Real Potosí(home) | 1-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 1-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Potosí win, 0 draws, 5 Bolívar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Bolívar 1-0 Real Potosí | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Real Potosí 3-1 Bolívar | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bolívar 2-1 Real Potosí | Primera División |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Real Potosí 1-3 Bolívar | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Bolívar 3-1 Real Potosí | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Aug 19, 2021 | Real Potosí 0-2 Bolívar | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Bolívar vs Real Potosí on Nov 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Potosí score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bolívar score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Potosí | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bolívar | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Potosí sit 5th in Primera División (40 points from 25 matches) and Bolívar sit 1st (60 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 61 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Potosí | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 18 | 40 |
A question about Real Potosí vs Bolívar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Potosí vs Bolívar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolívar the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Real Potosí.
- Where and when is Real Potosí vs Bolívar played?
- Real Potosí vs Bolívar is played on November 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte de Potosí, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.