Nacional vs Estoril: result 4-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Estoril?
Nacional won 4-1 on April 10, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 37′Tiquinho SoaresNacional
- 46′Salvador AgraNacional
- 54′Nenê BonilhaNacional
- 62′WitiNacional
- 79′MarionEstoril
Official lineup for Nacional vs Estoril
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nacional
- 18Tiquinho Soares
- 6Ali Ghazal
- 7Salvador Agra
- 8Nenê Bonilha
- 81Witi
- 89Washington Santana
- 2João Aurélio
- 5Nuno Sequeira
- 31Hichem Belkaroui
- 33Rui Correia
- 12Rui Silva
Estoril
- 9Léo Bonatini
- 10Gerso
- 21Frédéric Mendy
- 6Afonso Taira
- 13A. Esiti
- 27Mattheus Oliveira
- 2Yohan Tavares
- 5Anderson Luis Ribeiro Pereira
- 26Pedro Botelho
- 34Diego Carlos
- 1P. Kieszek
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Estoril have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | Maritimo(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 20, 2016 | Guimaraes(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Boavista(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 26, 2016 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 20, 2016 | Academica(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Rio Ave(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 27, 2016 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nacional win, 2 draws, 3 Estoril wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | Estoril 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2015 | Nacional 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Estoril 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 20, 2014 | Nacional 2-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Estoril 3-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 7, 2013 | Estoril 4-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Estoril | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 16th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 8 matches) and Estoril sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
A question about Nacional vs Estoril?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy