Nacional vs Estrela: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 6, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Full time
What was the result of Nacional vs Estrela?
Estrela won 0-1 on April 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 81′Jovane CabralEstrela
Official lineup for Nacional vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nacional
4-2-3-1- 95J. Tagueu
- 98Paulinho Bóia
- 17Daniel Penha
- 99Dudu
- 88Matheus Dias
- 10Luís Esteves
- 70A. Appiah
- 34Léo Santos
- 4Ulisses
- 22Gustavo Garcia
- 37Lucas França
Estrela
3-4-3- 17Chico Banza
- 98Kikas
- 9Rodrigo Pinho
- 7Fábio Ronaldo
- 42Manuel Keliano
- 22Léo Cordeiro
- 2Diogo Travassos
- 25Nilton Varela
- 5I. Dramé
- 27R. Pantalon
- 24Andorinha
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Estrela have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Casa Pia(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Benfica(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Moreirense(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Nacional wins, 1 draw, 2 Estrela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | Estrela 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Estrela 0-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Nacional 4-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Estrela | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 16th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 8 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Nacional vs Estrela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy