Nacional vs Estrela: result 4-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 4, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Estrela?
Nacional won 4-1 on December 4, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 10′B. RóchezNacional
- 32′João CamachoNacional
- 56′PaulinhoEstrela
- 62′Marco MatiasNacional
- 76′DuduNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Estrela have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 8, 2021 | Chaves(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Academica(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Mafra(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Feirense(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | Benfica B(home) | 3-6 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Vizela(away) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 5, 2021 | Vilafranquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2021 | FC Porto B(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Feirense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy