Nacional vs Estrela: result 4-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 4, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Estrela?
Nacional won 4-1 on December 4, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 10′B. RóchezNacional
- 32′João CamachoNacional
- 56′PaulinhoEstrela
- 62′Marco MatiasNacional
- 76′DuduNacional
Official lineup for Nacional vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nacional
4-2-3-1- 7João Camacho
- 35B. Róchez
- 77Marco Matias
- 8V. Danilović
- 66Chico Ramos
- 80Vítor Gonçalves
- 23Witi
- 44Júlio César
- 33Rui Correia
- 27Rúben Freitas
- 85António Filipe
Estrela
4-1-4-1- 7Paulinho
- 31Madson
- 70Miguel Rosa
- 32Chapi Romano
- 11Diogo Pinto
- 2M. Traoré
- 18A. Correia
- 55Matheus Dantas
- 13Tiago Melo
- 35Sérgio Conceição
- 99Gonçalo Tabuaço
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Estrela have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 8, 2021 | Chaves(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Academica(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Mafra(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Feirense(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | Benfica B(home) | 3-6 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Vizela(away) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 5, 2021 | Vilafranquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2021 | FC Porto B(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Feirense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Nacional vs Estrela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy