Nacional vs Estrela: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 15, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Estrela?
Estrela won 0-1 on January 15, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 4′Ronaldo TavaresEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Estrela have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 12, 2023 | Velez Sarsfield(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Rabo Peixe(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Farense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Benfica B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | Trofense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Moreirense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Penafiel(home) | 1-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Niort(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Moreirense(away) | 2-4 | Taça da Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | Estrela 0-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Nacional 4-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Estrela | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy