Nacional vs Guimaraes: result 1-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 31, 2017 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Guimaraes?
Guimaraes won 1-2 on March 31, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 25′Rafael Miranda da ConceiçãoGuimaraes
- 85′César David Texeira TorresGuimaraes
- 90′ZizoNacional
Official lineup for Nacional vs Guimaraes
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nacional
4-3-3- 28Willyan
- 7Salvador Agra
- 27F. Aristeguieta
- 87Zequinha
- 10Tiago Rodrigues
- 25Filipe Miguel Maganinho dos Santos Gonçalves
- 33Rui Correia
- 22Nuno Campos
- 3César Martins
- 5Nuno Sequeira
- 31Adriano Facchini
Guimaraes
4-4-2- 81Raphinha
- 71Fábio Sturgeon
- 91César David Texeira Torres
- 8B. Zungu
- 5Rafael Miranda da Conceição
- 17F. Sacko
- 41Rúben Rafael de Sousa Ferreira
- 2Pedro Henrique
- 26P. Gouano
- 20João Aurélio
- 1Douglas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Guimaraes have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 13, 2017 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 4, 2017 | FC Porto(away) | 0-7 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Feirense(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 20, 2017 | Maritimo(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | Rio Ave(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Estoril(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 5, 2017 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2017 | Chaves(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Feb 24, 2017 | Moreirense(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nacional wins, 1 draw, 2 Guimaraes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2016 | Guimaraes 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 20, 2016 | Nacional 3-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Guimaraes 0-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2015 | Nacional 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Guimaraes 4-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 3, 2014 | Guimaraes 1-2 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 0.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 16th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 8 matches) and Guimaraes sit 15th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Nacional vs Guimaraes?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy