Nacional vs Moreirense: result 3-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Moreirense?
Nacional won 3-2 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′Vasco SousaMoreirense
- 21′C. RamírezNacional (pen.)
- 56′KikoMoreirense
- 59′Léo SantosNacional
- 84′C. RamírezNacional (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Moreirense have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Arouca(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Casa Pia(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2025 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Moreirense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Moreirense 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Nacional 1-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Nacional 0-2 Moreirense | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Moreirense 3-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Moreirense 1-0 Nacional | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2021 | Moreirense 2-2 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Moreirense vs Nacional on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Moreirense score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Moreirense | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 5th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Moreirense sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy