Nacional vs Real: result 0-4 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 7, 2017 at 10:15 AM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Real?
Real won 0-4 on October 7, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 43′Júlio CésarReal (o.g.)
- 71′Marcos BarbeiroReal
- 74′Carlos ViníciusReal
- 90′Carlos ViníciusReal (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real have 6, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2017 | SC Braga B(away) | 4-5 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Condeixa(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 16, 2017 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Academico Viseu(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 27, 2017 | SC Covilha(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2017 | Famalicao(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Merelinense(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Penafiel(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 8, 2017 | Benfica B(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Guimaraes B(away) | 3-4 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real score 1.6 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Real | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/14 | 9/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy