Nacional vs Vilafranquense: result 1-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 19, 2022 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Full time
What was the result of Nacional vs Vilafranquense?
Nacional and Vilafranquense drew 1-1 on October 19, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 86′Luís EstevesNacional
- 90′Léo AlabáVilafranquense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Vilafranquense have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Moreirense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Angrense(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Trofense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 11, 2022 | SC Covilha(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | Moreirense(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Penafiel(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Juventude Évora(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Farense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Benfica B(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Nacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vilafranquense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | Vilafranquense 4-3 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Nacional 4-0 Vilafranquense | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Nacional 5-1 Vilafranquense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Vilafranquense 1-2 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Vilafranquense vs Nacional on Jan 22, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vilafranquense score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Vilafranquense | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy