Naestved vs Aarhus: result 2-1 and analysis
DBU Pokalen8th FinalsKick-off on October 31, 2018 at 05:15 PM (UTC)MTM Service Park, Næstved
Full time
What was the result of Naestved vs Aarhus?
Naestved won 2-1 on October 31, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 7′R. MmaeeAarhus
- 11′Søren JensenNaestved
- 55′C. BoatengNaestved
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naestved have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aarhus have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | HB Koge(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Lyngby(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 16, 2018 | Roskilde(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 7, 2018 | FC Helsingor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Nykobing FC(away) | 2-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 2-4 | Superliga |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Aalborg(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Odense(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Esbjerg(away) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Aarhus Fremad(away) | 5-1 | DBU Pokalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Naestved score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aarhus score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Aarhus | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy