Naestved vs Roskilde: result 3-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 1, 2018 at 11:30 AM (UTC)MTM Service Park, Næstved
Full time
What was the result of Naestved vs Roskilde?
Naestved won 3-1 on September 1, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 24′E. NielsenRoskilde
- 64′15980Naestved
- 76′T. ChristensenNaestved
- 78′F. JustinussenNaestved
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naestved have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Roskilde have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | Silkeborg(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 22, 2018 | HB Koge(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Hvidovre(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Thisted FC(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2018 | Karlslunde(away) | 3-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | Thisted FC(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 22, 2018 | Fremad Amager(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Silkeborg(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2018 | Greve(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Nykobing FC(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Naestved win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Roskilde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2017 | Naestved 1-2 Roskilde | 1. Division |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Roskilde 2-1 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Mar 8, 2017 | Naestved 3-2 Roskilde | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Roskilde 0-2 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Roskilde 3-2 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Naestved 2-1 Roskilde | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Naestved score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Roskilde score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Roskilde | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy