NagaWorld vs National Defense: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Olympic Stadium, Phnom Penh
The Footlab model makes NagaWorld the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for National Defense. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NagaWorld vs National Defense?
NagaWorld starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (1,603 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NagaWorld have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; National Defense have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Angkor Tiger(away) | 1-4 | C-League |
| May 10, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(away) | 0-3 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 1-1 | C-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(home) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NagaWorld win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 National Defense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | National Defense 0-2 NagaWorld | C-League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | NagaWorld 1-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | National Defense 0-2 NagaWorld | C-League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | NagaWorld 2-3 National Defense | C-League |
| Apr 7, 2024 | NagaWorld 0-2 National Defense | C-League |
| Jan 12, 2024 | National Defense 1-1 NagaWorld | C-League |
Last archived meeting: National Defense vs NagaWorld on Dec 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
NagaWorld score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NagaWorld | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NagaWorld sit 5th in C-League (43 points from 30 matches) and National Defense sit 3rd (21 points from 28 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | National Defense | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 76 | 21 |
| 5 | NagaWorld | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NagaWorld vs National Defense?
- The Footlab model makes NagaWorld the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for National Defense.
- Where and when is NagaWorld vs National Defense played?
- NagaWorld vs National Defense is played on January 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Olympic Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.