National Defense vs Angkor Tiger: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Army Stadium, Phnom Penh
The Footlab model makes Angkor Tiger the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for National Defense. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win National Defense vs Angkor Tiger?
Angkor Tiger is a heavy favourite: 1,687 Elo points against 1,366 — a 321-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, National Defense have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Angkor Tiger have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(home) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | NagaWorld(home) | 4-1 | C-League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(away) | 2-1 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | Svay Rieng(home) | 4-3 | C-League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 2-0 | C-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(away) | 0-2 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 National Defense win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Angkor Tiger win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Angkor Tiger 7-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | National Defense 0-3 Angkor Tiger | C-League |
| Feb 5, 2025 | National Defense 3-3 Angkor Tiger | Hun Sen Cup |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Angkor Tiger 0-3 National Defense | Hun Sen Cup |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Angkor Tiger 5-0 National Defense | C-League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | National Defense 1-2 Angkor Tiger | C-League |
Last archived meeting: Angkor Tiger vs National Defense on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Angkor Tiger score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Angkor Tiger | 2.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
National Defense sit 3rd in C-League (21 points from 28 matches) and Angkor Tiger sit 2nd (56 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Angkor Tiger | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 41 | 56 |
| 3 | National Defense | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 76 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for National Defense vs Angkor Tiger?
- The Footlab model makes Angkor Tiger the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for National Defense.
- Where and when is National Defense vs Angkor Tiger played?
- National Defense vs Angkor Tiger is played on January 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Army Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.