Nagoya Grampus vs Roasso Kumamoto: result 5-2 and analysis
Emperor Cup4th RoundKick-off on December 15, 2012 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota
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What was the result of Nagoya Grampus vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Nagoya Grampus won 5-2 on December 15, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2012 | Urawa(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Kashima(home) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Jubilo Iwata(away) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Nov 7, 2012 | FC Tokyo(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2012 | Ehime FC(home) | 0-1 | J2 League |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Ventforet Kofu(away) | 0-2 | J2 League |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-0 | J2 League |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Yokohama FC(home) | 0-1 | J2 League |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 2-1 | J2 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nagoya Grampus score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy