Match

Nairn County vs Buckie Thistle: prediction and stats

Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 28Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Nairn

Nairn CountyBuckie Thistle

The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Nairn County. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nairn County vs Buckie Thistle?

Buckie Thistle starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,658 vs 1,436).

Nairn County win19 %
Draw21 %
Buckie Thistle win60 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairn County have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Buckie Thistle have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nairn County
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Clachnacuddin(away)1-6Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026Lossiemouth(home)1-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Fraserburgh(away)0-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026Inverurie Loco Works(away)1-3Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026Forres Mechanics(home)1-2Football League - Highland League
Buckie Thistle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Invergordon(away)6-0Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Turriff United(away)2-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026Brora Rangers(home)2-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026Strathspey Thistle(away)2-0Football League - Highland League
Aug 1, 2026Banks O' Dee(home)7-2Football League - Highland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nairn County win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Buckie Thistle win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2025Nairn County 0-1 Buckie ThistleFootball League - Highland League
Jul 26, 2025Buckie Thistle 1-0 Nairn CountyFootball League - Highland League
Mar 1, 2025Nairn County 0-2 Buckie ThistleFootball League - Highland League
Oct 16, 2024Buckie Thistle 2-1 Nairn CountyFootball League - Highland League
Feb 3, 2024Nairn County 3-0 Buckie ThistleFootball League - Highland League
Sep 30, 2023Buckie Thistle 6-0 Nairn CountyFootball League - Highland League

Last archived meeting: Nairn County vs Buckie Thistle on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Buckie Thistle score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nairn County1.02.328/159/15
Buckie Thistle2.40.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nairn County sit 9th in Football League - Highland League (49 points from 34 matches) and Buckie Thistle sit 8th (53 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Buckie Thistle3416513624753
9Nairn County3415415565249

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nairn County vs Buckie Thistle?
The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Nairn County.
Where and when is Nairn County vs Buckie Thistle played?
Nairn County vs Buckie Thistle is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nairn County and Buckie Thistle

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