Buckie Thistle vs Fraserburgh: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 29Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Park, Buckie
The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Fraserburgh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buckie Thistle vs Fraserburgh?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Buckie Thistle (1,656) and Fraserburgh (1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buckie Thistle have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Fraserburgh have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 6-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 7-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buckie Thistle win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fraserburgh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Buckie Thistle 0-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Fraserburgh 2-2 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Fraserburgh 1-1 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 1-3 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 1-0 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Fraserburgh 1-3 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Buckie Thistle vs Fraserburgh on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buckie Thistle score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckie Thistle | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buckie Thistle sit 8th in Football League - Highland League (53 points from 34 matches) and Fraserburgh sit 4th (68 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 47 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buckie Thistle vs Fraserburgh?
- The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Fraserburgh.
- Where and when is Buckie Thistle vs Fraserburgh played?
- Buckie Thistle vs Fraserburgh is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Banks O' DeevsNairn County
- Feb 27, 2027Formartine UnitedvsClachnacuddin
- Feb 27, 2027Forres MechanicsvsStrathspey Thistle
- Feb 27, 2027Inverurie Loco WorksvsDeveronvale
- Feb 27, 2027KeithvsBrora Rangers
- Feb 27, 2027RothesvsTurriff United
- Feb 27, 2027Wick AcademyvsLossiemouth
- Feb 27, 2027InvergordonvsHuntly