Najran vs Al-Kawkab: prediction and stats
Division 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium, Najran
The Footlab AI model makes Najran the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Al-Kawkab. The most likely score is 1-1. If Najran wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Najran vs Al-Kawkab?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Najran (1,628) and Al-Kawkab (1,578).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Najran vs Al-Kawkab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Najran
Not enough data to predict the Najran lineup.
Al-Kawkab
Not enough data to predict the Al-Kawkab lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Najran have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Kawkab have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Al Najoom(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Jubbah(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Al Sahel(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Al Jeel(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Al-Sadd(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Najoom(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Al Safa(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Nairyah(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mudhar Club(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Al Qous(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Najran wins, 2 draws, 1 Al-Kawkab win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | Najran 1-1 Al-Kawkab | Division 1 |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Al-Kawkab 0-1 Najran | Division 1 |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Al-Kawkab 1-2 Najran | Division 1 |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Najran 3-1 Al-Kawkab | Division 1 |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Najran 1-2 Al-Kawkab | Division 1 |
| Dec 10, 2019 | Al-Kawkab 0-0 Najran | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Najran score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Kawkab score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najran | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Kawkab | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Najran sit 6th in Division 2 (46 points from 30 matches) and Al-Kawkab sit 10th (40 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NajranGroup 1 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | Al-KawkabGroup 2 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 40 |
A question about Najran vs Al-Kawkab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Najran vs Al-Kawkab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Najran the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Al-Kawkab.
- Where and when is Najran vs Al-Kawkab played?
- Najran vs Al-Kawkab is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium, in the Division 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.